Keys to Predict a Draw in Soccer (4 tips)

Caan Berry
2 min readJul 18, 2020

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Would you like to bet on a draw, but you are not sure how to do it?

Here, we give you some tips to stake and win a tie football game. These tips are followed by a video that elaborates on the art of staking a team to draw.

Find the leagues with the most draws

Which football league has the most draw results? Here is the percentage of draws in the main European championships and cups over the last ten years.

  • Ligue 1: 25.80%
  • Serie A: 24.80%
  • Bundesliga: 24.40%
  • Premier League: 24.20%
  • Liga: 23.40%
  • Champions League: 23.20%

We can, therefore, see that the five major European football championships have a relatively close draw rate. There’s an average of 24.30% of draws.

Therefore, focusing on a league that you think is fond of draws is not enough. It is better to also focus on the teams that draw most.

Find the teams with the most draws

Let’s take a silly example. If the team you want to draw, draws less than 20% of games, you may want to think again before staking them for a draw game. That doesn’t mean that a draw can’t happen. Nor does that mean that it is the only criterion to take into account.

But obviously, there’s a lesser chance than choosing a team with 40% draws over the season.

It seems to be a better move to try. Do you plan to bet on a half-time draw or other bets based on a time frame? Study statistics on half-time draws for each of the teams.

Look for low-stake matches

These are matches in which the teams don’t have anything to fight for in particular. They will, therefore, be less motivated. We are talking about a friendly game or a second game of the season between two teams in the soft stomach of a championship.

Another is a game involving an already crowned team. There are a lot of possible configurations that make a match without a stake.

Look for games with low expected goals

The teams which have little possession and which love counter-attacks will tend to play a lot of draws. They close the game, and therefore fewer goals will be scored on either side.

In general, teams that score little and concede few goals frequently draw ties. It is purely statistical. It is not 100%. But there again, it will be an important tip to take into account.

Would you like to have more valuable tips on how to stake teams for a draw? Then we recommend watching this video below:

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Caan Berry
Caan Berry

Written by Caan Berry

Professional Betfair Trader. Author. Blogger. YouTuber. Beer Drinker. Promoted by Betfair & Betdaq. Read the blog here: caanberry.com

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