WIN Betting on the Serve (Tennis Trading)

Caan Berry
2 min readJun 27, 2018

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A tennis players serve is a bit of a big deal.

If you’ve followed the game or even played, you’ll know this…

The reason behind it is; holding serve is an advantage. So, when it comes to building a profitable tennis angle (betting and trading) it’s of great use.

When you know a player is under pressure, you can trade accordingly. Adversely, it could help you in making a decision to exit a trade.

Every time a player makes a serve (and it is broken) the market will react MORE than if would have if it was held. The problem is, players often hold their serve, (more-so in ATP matches).

So how do you make the most of this?

This type of trading relies heavily on who is playing. It’s always advisable to go against the serve, as the market usually reacts more. But going with the serve is possible (in a couple of cases). For example; If John Isner were playing a relatively low-key match, on a hard court surface — its unlikely there wouldn’t be many breaks in serve. John Isner has one of the highest statistics for winning his first serve.

If you bear in mind the point of play also, say the second or third match (of the first set), mental pressure will be extremely low. In this instance it may be a good idea to go with the serve for a game. Although I should warn you to be select!

If service is broken the market will shift heavily.

In fact, it’s very possible to work this method in the alternate direction. If a player is particularly weak under pressure, playing on a slow surface like clay then it may benefit to lay them. The key point is knowing your tennis, getting an understanding of the game (and players involved). It’s a crucial part of pulling this all together….

For more information and useful tips, check out our Tennis Trading Guide.

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Caan Berry
Caan Berry

Written by Caan Berry

Professional Betfair Trader. Author. Blogger. YouTuber. Beer Drinker. Promoted by Betfair & Betdaq. Read the blog here: caanberry.com

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